Table 4.26 Portwise Coastal Container Traffic Handled

Ports TEUs Handled

Mumbai 18000

JNP 81000

Kandla 27000

Tuticorin 18000

Cochin 18000

* Consultants Primary data (Year2001-02)

The container volume mentioned above constitutes mainly of laden empty International

containers that were handled along the coast during the particular period. On detailed

investigation it is observed that

The movement of International containers is predominantly laden for containers

moving in to JNPT the only port where majority of transshipment is taking place

today. Similarly the traffic carried from JNPT to other ports is significantly less in

terms of volume and constitutes a large volume of empties. This shows that the

decision of a shipping line for use of an Indian transshipment port is of very complex

nature.

Containers continued to be transshipped from Indian ports to foreign ports even when

Coastal service is available for connectivity to the transshipment at JNPT port.

Although main line vessels are calling at Tuticorin and Chennai, no transshipment is

taking place at these two ports for boxes of other Indian ports. Since Chennai is

located on East Coast and Main line services to Far East destinations are operated

from Chennai some movement of containers from/to other Indian ports should have

been evident.

Chapter 4: Coastal Traffic Estimates

4 - 39

Mother vessels continue to use near by foreign hub port like Colombo, UAE for off

loading containers for India instead of over-carrying them to JNPT port where they

have a scheduled port call immediately before or after the foreign hub port.

Mundra, Pipavav, Chennai, Vizag, Tuticorin ports have been developed with private

participation mainly to attract Main Line vessels but the absence of any transshipment

activities at these ports is very conspicuous.

Mother vessel operations, routings, their trading areas and ports of call, are very vital

elements that go in to selection of a transshipment port by a main line.

However the container growth in India is expected to increase following liberalisation

with private sector demonstrating its readiness to participate in infrastructure

development. There is also the possibility of international standard transshipment

facilities coming up at Chennai and JNPT to begin with so as to spare the EXIM trade

players to bother off moving of their international cargo to / from India through foreign

ports. These developments will have a positive impact on the growth of development of

coastal shipping.

The privatisation policies and open economic scenario being pursued by the government

and the probabilities of establishment of transshipment hubs that can divert the Indian

EXIM cargo from the existing hub ports like Colombo, Singapore etc. This in turn will

lead to increase in container movements via coastal shipping based on the hub and spoke

concept. However, Consultants are of the opinion that this scenario is at very elementary

stage and the traffic that can be attracted by the hub ports will depend on the market

forces and the competitiveness of these terminals in terms of their productivity and tariffs.

Modal Share

The modal share of container movement based on collected data and discussions with the

actual operators for 2002-03 shows that 3 percent of containers moved by coastal

shipping. Table 4.27 below shows the modal split of container movement.

Table 4.27 Modal Share of Container Traffic

Mode TEU's Handled % Share

Rail 0.9 32

Road 1.81 65

CS 0.081 3

Total 2.791 100

d) Future Container Movement

Decadal statistics (1993-2002) shows a compounded annual growth in Indian container

volumes to be 13-14 per cent. This trend is likely to continue. Globally containerisation

of general cargo has progressed steadily in the last decade, and now stands at nearly

around 80 percent of general cargo volumes generated.

In the year 2002-03 container traffic in India was at 43.67 million tonnes or 3.36 million

TEUs.

Chapter 4: Coastal Traffic Estimates

4 - 40

Share of Coastal Shipping

General cargo volume is expected to reach 120 MTPA and 160 MTPA by 2006-07 and

2011-12 respectively.

The Consultants assumed that the containerisation level would attain 55 to 60 percent in

the next ten years. Keeping in line the above explanation and assumption, the container

traffic projected will be 5.0 and 7.4 MTEUs for the above horizon years.

Assuming the shares of coastal shipping as coastal shipping 4 percent and 5 percent for

the years 2006-07 and 2011-12, the container traffic is worked out to be 0.2 and 0.4

MTEUs in the respective years.

4.11 SUMMARY OF COMMODITY-WISE TRAFFIC

Table 4.28 presents the consolidated commodity-wise forecast for the years 2006-07 and

2011-2012.

Table 4.28 Summary of Traffic Estimates by Coastal Shipping

in million tonnes

Commodity 2001-02 2006-07 2011-12

Crude 16.00 16.00 16.00

POL 12.70 25.00 32.50

Coal 15.90 20.00 25.00

Iron Ore 4.66 9.75 13.30

Iron & steel 0.28 0.76 1.04

Cement 3.16 8.65 13.00

Sub Total 52.70 80.16 100.84

Others 0.26 0.52 1.04

Subtotal 52.96 80.68 101.88

Containers 1.04 2.60 5.20

Total 54.00 83.28 107.08

4.12 PORTWISE ESTIMATED TRAFFIC

Based on the previous observed distributions of goods traffic by coastal shipping and

taking into consideration the growth patterns along with location specific development

plans, the Consultants have estimated future traffic movements for the years 2006-7 and

2011-12 port-wise. As already explained, these are broad estimates of future traffic that

are predicted based on the observed movement patterns (during last four years), previous

studies made and the developmental activities in the areas surrounding the ports. From

Table 4.29 to 4.32 depict the estimated commodity-wise handling activities at selected

major and non-major ports for the years 2006-07 and 2011-12. However, there are several

uncertainties in container movements especially in minor ports, which are still awaiting

modernisation and will demand large investments. For these reasons the Consultants have

refrained from drawing any definitive conclusions about movement of containers in

Indian ports.

Chapter 4: Coastal Traffic Estimates

4 - 41

4.13 RETURN CARGO

Information on the origin and destination details of the coastal cargo was gathered during

the visits to ports from the corresponding port officials and also consulted the published

documents on port statistics. Origin-Destination (O-D) matrices were developed for the

year 2002-2003 for selected commodities using the information collected (presented in

chapter 3). From the O-D matrices, it was evident that return cargo is not available for

(major commodities) coastal movement except for the O-D pair Vishakapatnam-

Magdalla. There was a movement of Iron ore of 3 million tonnes from Vishakapatnam to

Magdalla and Iron &Steel was moved from Magdalla to South and East Coast of India.

There is a large quantity of coal movement between Paradip-Chennai and POL movement

between Chennai-Paradip. However, the nature of commodities, demands different types

of vessels. In the present situation, return cargo is available for container traffic between

Gujarat ports-JNPT-Cochin-Tuticorin.

However, Consultants believe that in future, if the recommendations proposed in the

report are implemented market for coastal traffic will mature and return cargo in terms of

container traffic would be available between Mumbai-Chennai, Mumbai-Gujarat ports,

Gujarat ports-Cochin/Tuticorin.

Mailto:kris@dgshipping.com